A Three-Ring Circus: Plates on the Floor, or One Rascally Rabbit

President pinned below 40 percent approval, deep bond market anxiety, sovereigntist surges, and a (possible) rabbit in the hat. Less than 30 days out from pivotal U.S. midterm elections, a potentially devastating mix of domestic pocketbook pressures and geopolitical alarm is forcing an administration and a President pinned below 40 percent approval into an aggressive,…

Summer in the rearview, no clear path ahead

Summer is nearly in the rearview, but global conflict is front and center. The flashpoints I last wrote about – from war in Iran and Ukraine to mounting trade battles – continue to test the limits of President Trump’s go to economic and military strategy of coercion.  Tehran and Beijing exemplify these limits. Despite the…

The View from North America: Elbows up, clear eyes.

If you needed proof that the late-August heat gets to everyone, look no further than the U.S.–Canada border. Just one week ago today, negotiators appeared to have a solid trade path forward—yet by Monday, the northern alliance had hit a fever pitch. Between the abrupt U.S. 50% tariff threats on steel and autos, Canadian leaders…

USMCA, The path to passage

The following piece first appeared in BRINK, a publication focused on presenting perspectives from experts on risk and resilience around the world. You can find it here, or continue reading. USMCA, The path to passage. North America’s countries can expect continued uncertainty. On November 30, President Trump joined then-Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto and Canadian Prime…

Mexico and the world: “Uncertainty, the new norm.”

It’s hard to believe that there are less than two weeks to go before the end of the year and the holiday season is now upon us. Over the past 12 months, I’ve been privileged to work with talented colleagues at White & Case, who have earned a host of recognitions and awards. I hope each…

AMLO, now it’s El Presidente

Over the past few weeks, I’ve met with investors, corporate directors, and foreign-policy focused groups who are all acutely interested in Mexico’s ongoing political transition. Regardless of the sector, everyone has questions on what to expect from the next Mexican administration. President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador will assume office on December 1st with overwhelming majorities in both houses of…

USMCA, just don’t call it NAFTA.

It’s been thirteen months, nine official rounds of negotiations, countless side meetings, and a brief period where Canada’s participation appeared precarious, but this past Sunday night, the U.S., Mexican, and Canadian negotiators finally announced a new regional trade agreement. The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) builds on the old NAFTA and pulls in much of the modernization that had been…

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