A Three-Ring Circus: Plates on the Floor, or One Rascally Rabbit

President pinned below 40 percent approval, deep bond market anxiety, sovereigntist surges, and a (possible) rabbit in the hat. Less than 30 days out from pivotal U.S. midterm elections, a potentially devastating mix of domestic pocketbook pressures and geopolitical alarm is forcing an administration and a President pinned below 40 percent approval into an aggressive,…

Summer in the rearview, no clear path ahead

Summer is nearly in the rearview, but global conflict is front and center. The flashpoints I last wrote about – from war in Iran and Ukraine to mounting trade battles – continue to test the limits of President Trump’s go to economic and military strategy of coercion.  Tehran and Beijing exemplify these limits. Despite the…

The View from North America: Elbows up, clear eyes.

If you needed proof that the late-August heat gets to everyone, look no further than the U.S.–Canada border. Just one week ago today, negotiators appeared to have a solid trade path forward—yet by Monday, the northern alliance had hit a fever pitch. Between the abrupt U.S. 50% tariff threats on steel and autos, Canadian leaders…

U.S./ Mexico: Reeling, but moving to reopen.

These past months have been difficult and have transformed our daily routines and the structure of our societies and economies. Here at White & Case, we’ve been following these changes across Mexico and the United States and advising clients on what it means to them. The world is in the midst of a public health crisis, sharp…

USMCA: Shaping the Region’s Trade Realities

The following piece first appeared in BRINK, a publication focused on presenting perspectives from experts on risk and resilience around the world. You can find it here, or for the piece as submitted and with hyperlinks, continue reading. In August 2017, trade negotiators from the United States, Mexico, and Canada met for the first time in Mexico City to begin hashing…

USMCA: A Holiday Season to Remember

December 31, 2019 will mark the end of another year and decade. Across the United States, Latin America, and the world, the 2010s were challenging times, with booms and busts, elections and impeachments, and unceasing volatility. It was the decade of left and right populism, mass migration, large-scale corruption (and anti-corruption efforts), persistent inequality, and continuously weak…

Shifting sands, and so little time.

Over the past few weeks, the U.S. Congress has been focused on impeachment proceedings. With so much activity and the situation very much in flux I recommend Axios for up to date coverage and Five Thirty Eight for polling on the ongoing constitutional process.  This week, Congress narrowly avoided a government shutdown, as congressional leaders have yet to reach a…

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