Turmoil and tariffs spell tension in 2025

As we close out 2024, I want to begin this last note of the year by first thanking my friends, clients, associates, and readers for their support over these past 12 months.   With less than a month until year’s end, yet another seemingly once in a generation geopolitical event occurred with the ouster of…

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Mexico’s transfer of power: La Presidenta.

From the devastation in the wake of Hurricane Helene in the U.S. southeast to an expansion of the conflict in the Middle East, there is a lot going on in the world right now. Today, though, I want to focus on Mexico’s political transition. On Tuesday, Claudia Sheinbaum – a climate scientist and career public…

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 “Democracy” 2024: Stakes high, conflict abounds. 

Only a few days into September and somehow Labor Day already feels like a distant memory. Globally, major geopolitical tensions persist. In the Middle East, we are now 10-months into the Israel-Palestine conflict. On September 1, tens of thousands of Israelis took to the streets protesting the Israeli government’s failure to secure the release of…

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A sweltering summer, and market fall.

This past Monday, the Trump administration delayed the full onset of another round of tariffs against consumer goods from China through December. It was welcome news, but not enough to reverse current market trends or to keep China from promising countermeasures. By all indicators, the global economy is steadily cooling down and the United States and other major economies…

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A Tariff, Gone Too Far…

Later today, Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard, United States Vice President Mike Pence and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will meet regarding the Trump administration’s announcement that they will apply 5 percent tariffs on all goods coming from Mexico (set to start on June 10), if Mexico does not stop migrants from reaching the United States. It’s…

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Shutdown averted, USMCA and Energy Reform still big question marks.

Yesterday, President Trump appeared to back away from his threat to close the U.S.-Mexico border. The change of tone was a relief, especially for the North American business and border communities that would be paralyzed from the halted cross-border trade and movement.

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USMCA, The path to passage

The following piece first appeared in BRINK, a publication focused on presenting perspectives from experts on risk and resilience around the world. You can find it here, or continue reading. USMCA, The path to passage. North America’s countries can expect continued uncertainty. On November 30, President Trump joined then-Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto and Canadian Prime…

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