Conflict, elections: The clock is ticking.

Geopolitical tensions continue to rage. We are now six months into the Israel-Palestine conflict, and though the ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas are welcome news, Iran’s drone attack against Israel is yet another sign of the increasing regionalization of the Middle Eastern hostilities. This is no doubt a delicate moment both for the conflict…

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U.S. & Mexico Elections: It’s race time!

I know that many of you are well into your spring break, getting ready for the Easter holiday, or simply enjoying March Madness. And others simply relieved to see that the U.S. government may have averted a shutdown. That said, I thought it was a good time to get a quick note out to you,…

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More turbulence ahead, keep seatbelts buckled.

The first month of the new year is nearly behind us, and everything suggests there is plenty of turbulence ahead, so keep those seatbelts buckled.  The Eurasia Group has made clear that 2024 will be the year of (at least) three simultaneous conflicts: Ukraine vs. Russia; Israel vs. Palestine; and the United States vs. itself. Against that…

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A sweltering summer, and market fall.

This past Monday, the Trump administration delayed the full onset of another round of tariffs against consumer goods from China through December. It was welcome news, but not enough to reverse current market trends or to keep China from promising countermeasures. By all indicators, the global economy is steadily cooling down and the United States and other major economies…

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A Tariff, Gone Too Far…

Later today, Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard, United States Vice President Mike Pence and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will meet regarding the Trump administration’s announcement that they will apply 5 percent tariffs on all goods coming from Mexico (set to start on June 10), if Mexico does not stop migrants from reaching the United States. It’s…

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Shutdown averted, USMCA and Energy Reform still big question marks.

Yesterday, President Trump appeared to back away from his threat to close the U.S.-Mexico border. The change of tone was a relief, especially for the North American business and border communities that would be paralyzed from the halted cross-border trade and movement.

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USMCA, The path to passage

The following piece first appeared in BRINK, a publication focused on presenting perspectives from experts on risk and resilience around the world. You can find it here, or continue reading. USMCA, The path to passage. North America’s countries can expect continued uncertainty. On November 30, President Trump joined then-Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto and Canadian Prime…

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